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Weekly Financial Summary 2023-10-30

Date: 2023-10-30
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Financial attention

Macroeconomics




1. Statistics Bureau: From January to September, industrial enterprises above designated size nationwide achieved a total profit of 5411.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 9.0%, and achieved operating revenue of 96.35 trillion yuan, which remained unchanged year-on-year. At the end of September, the asset liability ratio of industrial enterprises above designated size was 57.6%, a year-on-year increase of 0.2 percentage points.




2. Ministry of Finance: From January to September, the total operating revenue of state-owned enterprises was 61968.95 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.9%. The total profit was 3479.75 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.3%. At the end of September, the asset liability ratio of state-owned enterprises was 64.8%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points.




3. Ministry of Culture and Tourism: In the first three quarters, the total number of domestic tourists reached 3.674 billion, an increase of 1.58 billion or 75.5% year-on-year. The total cost of domestic travel for residents was 3.69 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.97 trillion yuan year-on-year or 114.4%. Among them, urban residents spent 3.17 trillion yuan on travel, a year-on-year increase of 122.7%; Rural residents spent 0.52 trillion yuan on travel, a year-on-year increase of 75.8%.




4. China Securities News: China will issue an additional 1 trillion yuan of treasury bond in 2023. It is expected that the advance approval limit for local bonds will continue to be issued in the fourth quarter, and the open market operation will be strengthened. In recent years, the proactive fiscal policy and the prudent monetary policy will continue to work. According to the industry, while fiscal policies are actively implemented, it is expected that there is a high possibility of reducing reserve requirements in the fourth quarter, which will create a suitable liquidity environment for government bond issuance.




5. Foreign Exchange Bureau: In September, the import and export volume of China's international balance of payments goods and services trade reached 4248.7 billion yuan. Among them, the export of goods trade is 2054.3 billion yuan, the import is 1674.3 billion yuan, and the surplus is 380 billion yuan; Service trade exports amounted to 176.9 billion yuan, imports amounted to 343.2 billion yuan, and a deficit of 166.3 billion yuan. The import and export scale of transportation services is 155 billion yuan, and the import and export scale of travel services is 134.4 billion yuan.




Stock market inventory




1. On Friday, the Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3017.78 points, up 0.99%, with a transaction volume of 385.692 billion yuan. The Shenzhen Composite Index closed at 9770.84 points, up 2.14%, with a transaction volume of 578.696 billion yuan. The ChiNext Index closed at 1929.91 points, up 2.88%, with a transaction volume of 275.588 billion yuan. Overall, individual stocks rose more than fell, with over 3800 stocks rising in both markets and over a hundred stocks rising by over 9%. The transaction volume of the two markets is 964.4 billion, with a volume increase of 121.9 billion compared to the previous trading day. On the market, sectors such as CRO, weight loss drugs, biological products, and lithography machines saw the highest gains, while sectors such as Huawei Kunpeng, Hongmeng Concept, East Digital and West Computing, and communication equipment saw the highest declines. Northbound funds had a net purchase of 4.668 billion yuan throughout the day, with Shanghai Stock Connect buying 1.898 billion yuan and Shenzhen Stock Connect buying 2.77 billion yuan.




2. On Friday, the Hang Seng Index rose 2.08% to 17398.73 points. The Hang Seng Technology Index rose 2.52% to close at 3806.10. The state-owned enterprise index rose 2.04% to 5979.01. On the market, China Evergrande rose by over 6%, SMIC International and Xiaopeng Automobile rose by over 5%, and Ganfeng Lithium and Bilibili rose by over 4%; Evergrande Property fell by over 4%, while Zero Run Auto fell by nearly 2%. Southbound funds net purchased HKD 2.411 billion. Among them, the Hong Kong Stock Connect (Shanghai) net bought HKD 1.661 billion, and the Hong Kong Stock Connect (Shenzhen) net bought HKD 750 million.




3. As of October 27th, there were 225 listed companies on the Beijing Stock Exchange, with one new company added on the same day. The total market value is 261.08 billion yuan, with a transaction amount of 1.785 billion yuan.




4. Financing balance between the two cities: As of October 26th, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was reported to be 812.505 billion yuan, a decrease of 457 million yuan compared to the previous trading day; The financing balance of the Shenzhen Stock Exchange was reported to be 726.655 billion yuan, an increase of 527 million yuan compared to the previous trading day; The total amount of the two cities is 1539.16 billion yuan, an increase of 70 million yuan compared to the previous trading day.




5. Daily Economic News: Although the A-share market is still in a volatile pattern, funds that 'see the long run and do the long run' have begun to countercyclically layout the future market. Although there may still be some volatility in the short-term market, in the long run, the current position can already begin to layout.




6. Securities Daily: As of October 26th, 170 Hong Kong stock companies implemented buybacks during the year, with a cumulative buyback quantity of over 6.187 billion shares and a cumulative buyback amount of over HKD 91.827 billion, a year-on-year increase of 18%. At the same time, regulatory authorities are already working on revising the share repurchase rules.




7. China Securities Regulatory Commission: Extend the validity period of financial information for equity issuance restructuring projects, and promote listed companies to reduce restructuring costs. The validity period of financial information for equity issuance restructuring projects can be appropriately extended on a 6-month basis in special circumstances, and the extension period can be adjusted from no more than 1 month to no more than 3 months.




8. China Securities Network: As of October 26, 40 private equity firms with a total shareholding value of over 60 billion yuan have been listed among the top 10 circulating shareholders of 102 listed companies, with positions of well-known fund managers such as Feng Liu and Deng Xiaofeng exposed. From the perspective of position adjustment actions, billions of private equity firms are actively exploring investment opportunities in areas such as consumer goods, pharmaceuticals, and artificial intelligence.




9. Eastern Wealth: In the first three quarters, the total operating revenue was 8.488 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 11.22%; The net profit was 6.209 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.84%. The total operating revenue in the third quarter was 2.738 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 15.83%; The net profit was 1.984 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 7.73%.




10. Muyuan Stock: The operating revenue in the first three quarters was approximately 82.969 billion yuan, an increase of 2.72% year-on-year; The net profit loss was approximately 1.842 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 221.82%. In the third quarter, the operating revenue was 31.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.81%, and the net profit was 937 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 88.57%. Due to changes in objective factors such as the internal and external environment, the issue of overseas issuance of global depositary receipts has been terminated.




11. Yanghe Shares: Its operating revenue in the first three quarters was 30.283 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.35%; The net profit was 10.203 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.47%. In the third quarter, the operating revenue was 8.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 11.03%, and the net profit was 2.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.46%.




12. Weir Group: The company's operating revenue in the first three quarters was 15.081 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 1.96%; The net profit was 368 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 82.86%. Among them, the net profit in the third quarter was 215 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 279.61%.




13. Qingdao Beer: The company's operating revenue in the first three quarters was 30.978 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 6.42%; The net profit was 4.908 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.02%. Among them, the operating revenue in the third quarter was 9.386 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.58%; The net profit was 1.482 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.75%.




14. Wuliangye: In the first three quarters, its operating revenue was 62.54 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.11%, and its net profit was 22.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.24%. The operating revenue in the third quarter was 17.03 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.99%; The net profit was 5.796 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.57%.




Wealth Focus




1. Securities Daily: Since the beginning of this year, securities firms have raised a total of 1189.853 billion yuan through the issuance of ordinary corporate bonds, subordinated bonds, and short-term financing bonds, a year-on-year increase of 23.95%. The difficulty of securities firms refinancing through equity has increased. Therefore, debt financing has become one of the important means for securities firms to optimize their capital structure and increase their financial leverage.




2. Central Bank: In September, the bond market issued a total of 605.858 billion yuan in various types of bonds. Treasury bond issued 1182.26 billion yuan, local government bonds issued 768.44 billion yuan, financial bonds issued 809.15 billion yuan, corporate credit bonds issued 1161.05 billion yuan, credit asset-backed securities issued 34.49 billion yuan, and interbank deposit receipts issued 2078.59 billion yuan.




3. Shanghai Securities News: China completed its first international crude oil cross-border digital RMB settlement on October 27th. China Petroleum International Co., Ltd. settled for the first time a shipment of crude oil purchased on the trading center platform on October 19th using digital RMB through a digital wallet opened by the Shanghai Petroleum and Natural Gas Trading Center at the Bank of Communications.




Insight Economics




1. CCTV News: The first meeting of the China US Financial Working Group was held via video. This meeting was co chaired by deputy officials from the People's Bank of China and the US Treasury Department, with the participation of the State Administration of Financial Regulation, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as relevant financial regulatory departments such as the Federal Reserve and the US Securities and Exchange Commission.




2. Central Bank: In 2022, the total cross-border payment and receipt amount of RMB was 42.1 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.1%. Among them, the actual revenue was 20.5 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.9%; The actual payment was 21.6 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, with a ratio of 1:1.05. From January to September, the cross-border payment amount of RMB was 38.9 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.4%.




3. United States: In September, the core PCE price index increased by 3.70% year-on-year, reaching a new low since May 2021, with an expected 3.70%, compared to the previous value of 3.90%. A month on month increase of 0.3%, expected to be 0.30%, with a previous value of 0.10%.




Financial data




domestic




1. State Administration of Foreign Exchange: In September, the total transaction volume in China's foreign exchange market was 19.12 trillion yuan. Among them, bank to customer market transactions amounted to 3.20 trillion yuan, and interbank market transactions amounted to 15.92 trillion yuan; The cumulative transaction volume in the spot market is 5.85 trillion yuan, and the cumulative transaction volume in the derivatives market is 13.27 trillion yuan.




2. Central Bank: The trust balance of overseas institutions in China's bond market is 3.25 trillion yuan, accounting for 2.1% of the trust balance in China's bond market. Among them, the custody balance of overseas institutions in the interbank bond market is 3.19 trillion yuan; In terms of securities, overseas institutions hold 2.07 trillion yuan of treasury bond, accounting for 64.9%, and 0.69 trillion yuan of policy financial debt, accounting for 21.6%.




3. New Third Board: On October 27th, a total of 6289 companies were listed, with an increase of 1 company on the same day and a transaction amount of 193 million. The Third Board Composite Index closed at 876.25, up 0.03%, with a transaction volume of 89 million yuan.




4. Domestic commodity futures: As of the afternoon close on October 27th, most of them have risen. Coking coal, asphalt, etc. rose by over 2%, manganese silicon, plastic, etc. rose by over 1%, while corn, Shanghai silver, etc. rose slightly; NR fell by more than 2%, pulp, rubber, etc. fell by more than 1%, and jujube, SS, etc. fell slightly.




5. Treasury bond: On October 27, the main contract TS2312 of two-year treasury bond futures fell 0.02% to 101.040; The main contract of five-year treasury bond bond futures TF2312 declined 0.03% to 101.790; The main contract T2312 of 10-year treasury bond bond futures was stable at 101.685. The 10-year treasury bond bond interest rate fell 0.19BP to 2.71%; The 10-year national development bond interest rate fell 0.75BP to 2.75%.




6. Shanghai International Energy Trading Center: On October 27th, the main crude oil futures contract 2312 closed at 670.0 yuan/barrel, up 2.9 yuan or 0.43%. The total number of contracts traded was 236319, and the position decreased by 1090 to 55243. The main contract transactions were 197140, and the position decreased by 1393 to 27699.




7. Central Bank: On October 27th, a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of RMB 499 billion was carried out, with a winning interest rate of 1.8%, which was the same as before. Due to the expiration of a 7-day reverse repurchase of 828 billion yuan on the same day, a net withdrawal of 329 billion yuan was achieved.




8. Shibor: Overnight reported 1.6260%, down 2.40 basis points. The 7-day price was 2.0530%, up 0.80 basis points. Reported at 2.3990% in three months, up 0.90 basis points.




9. RMB: The onshore RMB closed at 7.3166 against the US dollar at 16:30, up 0.0219%, and the central parity rate of the RMB was 7.1782, up 0.0028%. NDF: Report 7.2005 for the first month, 7.2030 for the sixth month, 7.1355 for the first year, and 7.0155 for the second year.




10. Shanghai Environment Exchange: On October 27th, the trading volume of the national carbon market carbon emission quota listing agreement was 549997 tons, with a trading volume of 43.1766 million yuan. The closing price was 78.71 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.47%.




abroad




11. Asia: The Nikkei 225 index rose 1.27% to 30991.69 points. The South Korean KOSPI index rose 0.16% to 2302.81 points.




12. US stocks: The Dow closed down 1.12% at 32417.59 points; The Nasdaq rose 0.38% to 12643.01 points; The S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 4117.37.




13. Europe: The FTSE 100 in the UK closed 0.86% lower at 7291.28 points; Germany's DAX30 fell 0.30% to 14687.41 points; France CAC40 closed 1.28% lower at 6800.47 points.




14. Gold: COMEX December gold futures closed 0.05% higher at $1998.50 per ounce.




15. Crude oil: WTI's December crude oil futures settlement price rose 2.80% to $85.54 per barrel; Brent's December crude oil futures settlement price rose 2.90% to $90.48 per barrel.




16. The Baltic Dry Bulk Index: fell 5.96% to 1563 points.


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