Financial attention
Macroeconomics
1. The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council: Promote the green and low-carbon transformation and upgrading of traditional industries. Vigorously promote the green and low-carbon transformation of industries such as steel, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, chemicals, building materials, papermaking, printing and dyeing. Continuously update binding standards for land, environment, energy efficiency, water efficiency, and carbon emissions, and establish a sound mechanism for capacity exit. Reasonably raise the resource and environmental access threshold for new construction, renovation, and expansion projects, and resolutely curb the blind implementation of high energy consuming, high emission, and low-level projects.
2. Voice of the Greater Bay Area: On August 10th, the daily total number of inbound and outbound travelers in Macau reached 717457, once again breaking the record. Among them, the daily number of inbound and outbound travelers at the checkpoint reached 380798, accounting for 53.08%.
3. Pengpai News: On August 11th, the highest temperature at Xujiahui Station in Shanghai reached 37.2 ℃. So far, the scorching heat days above 37 ℃ in Shanghai have lasted for 12 days, breaking the record for the longest consecutive scorching heat days since the establishment of Xujiahui Station 152 years ago.
Stock market inventory
1. Last Friday, the Shanghai Composite Index closed down 0.27% at 2862.19 points, down 1.49% for the week; The Shenzhen Component Index closed down 0.62% at 8393.70 points, down 1.87% for the week; The ChiNext Index closed down 0.98% at 1595.64 points, down 2.60% for the week.
2. Last Friday, the Hang Seng Index closed up 1.17% at 17090.23 points, up 0.85% for the week; The Hang Seng Technology Index closed up 2.08% at 3436.80 points, up 1.51% for the week; The state-owned enterprise index closed up 1.29% at 6017.85 points, with a weekly increase of 0.72%.
3. Securities firm China: Last week (August 5th to August 9th), there were significant fluctuations in the bond market, and many began to impose purchase restrictions. Some funds directly lowered the purchase limit to 100 yuan. Fund insiders say that some funds have previously had significant floating profits, which continue to attract capital inflows. To prevent dilution of the original holder's income, some large-scale bond funds will be subject to purchase restrictions in the near future, including bond funds with a size of nearly 16 billion yuan.
4. China Fund News: With the normalization of public REITs issuance, the issuance of REITs in the market will significantly accelerate in 2024. As of August 10th, 11 public REITs have been issued since the beginning of this year, with a total issuance scale of 27.3 billion yuan, exceeding the fundraising amount of 25.2 billion yuan (including expansion) for the whole year of 2023. The number and scale of issuances have both exceeded the level of the whole year last year.
5. Securities Times: Ola Electric was listed on the local Indian market on August 9th. This is the largest IPO in India since the $2.7 billion stock issuance of a state-owned life insurance company in 2022. The founder of the company, Aggarwal, founded Ola Cabs in 2010 and achieved success in the Indian market, becoming a major ride sharing service provider in the country.
6. Yisheng Co., Ltd.: The company currently quotes 70 yuan/set for parent chicken chicks, but the supply is currently in short supply. In addition to the tight supply of substitute chicken chicks from parents, the recent price increase of commodity substitute chicken chicks has also driven up their prices.
7. Xianle Health achieved a revenue of 1.99 billion yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 28.85%, and a net profit of 154 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 52.66%.
8. Bohui Corporation: In accordance with current tax policies, the company has declared a consumption tax of 428 million yuan and additional taxes of 51.3784 million yuan on August 9th, totaling 480 million yuan, and will arrange for payment as soon as possible in the near future.
9. Wangda Software: The company achieved a revenue of 178 million yuan in the first half of the year, a year-on-year increase of 22.13%; The net profit was 6.0059 million yuan, a year-on-year turnaround.
10. Hehua Corporation: The company's recent production and operation have been normal, and there have been no significant changes in the internal and external business environment or related businesses. The company's disclosed '2024 Half Year Performance Forecast' currently does not have any situation that should be revised.
11. Shenzhen Property A (2 consecutive boards): There is no need to correct or supplement the information disclosed by the company in the early stage; There will be no significant changes in the recent business situation and internal and external operating environment.
12. Subscription of new shares: This week, there were three new shares subscribed, namely Xiaofang Pharmaceutical on the main board of Shanghai Stock Exchange, Guoke Tiancheng on the GEM and the Taihu Lake Yuanda on the Beijing Stock Exchange.
13. Restricted and unlocked: This week, a total of 53 restricted shares were unlocked, with a total of 4.214 billion shares unlocked and a market value of 51.286 billion yuan. Among them, Haitong Securities ranked first on the unlocking list with 6.625 billion yuan, while Guibao Pet and Gugao Technology ranked second and third with 5.989 billion yuan and 5.851 billion yuan respectively.
Industry Observation
1. CCTV Finance: As an important global supplier of vitamins, the direct impact of the BASF factory explosion is first reflected in the domestic vitamin pricing. Since the fire broke out at the end of July, in less than a month, the price increase of some vitamin categories in China has exceeded 100%. On August 9th, the market price of vitamin A reached 225 yuan per kilogram, an increase of 139 yuan per kilogram from early July, an increase of over 160%.
2. The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council: vigorously promote new energy vehicles and promote the electrification and replacement of urban public service vehicles; Vigorously developing circular economy, aiming to achieve an annual utilization of approximately 4.5 billion tons of bulk solid waste by 2030; Accelerate the construction of a new type of power system, with the goal of achieving a pumped storage installed capacity of over 120 million kilowatts by 2030; Accelerate the construction of clean energy bases such as Northwest wind and photovoltaic power, Southwest hydropower, offshore wind power, and coastal nuclear power.
3. CCTV News: Google's "Deep Thinking" company recently announced the development of a table tennis robot that can reach the level of human amateur table tennis players in competitions. Researchers say that robots lost all matches against advanced players, but won all matches against junior players and 55% of matches against intermediate players.
4. China IoT: In the first half of the year, a total of 90 new freight routes were opened nationwide, including over 70 international freight routes; The total turnover of air transportation was 70.3 billion tons kilometers, a year-on-year increase of over 30%.
5. CCTV Finance: This summer, paddleboarding has become the "new favorite" of water sports, and sales of multiple paddleboarding brands have also increased. By the end of 2023, there were 338 registered paddleboarding clubs nationwide. The global paddleboard market is also constantly growing, with a market size of approximately 4.4 billion yuan in 2023 and expected to reach 6.5 billion yuan by 2030.
6. CCTV News: On August 11th, China's independently developed large twin engine unmanned transport aircraft achieved a successful maiden flight. This type of unmanned aerial vehicle has a commercial payload capacity of 2 tons and is currently the largest domestically produced large-scale unmanned transport aircraft developed according to market demand.
7. Lighthouse Professional Edition: In 2024, the total box office of Qixi stalls will be 345 million, slightly down from last year and the year before last, and the total number of shows will be 456000, breaking the record of Qixi stalls in film history. The movie White Snake: A Floating Life became the box office champion of this year's Qixi Festival, while Catching the Doll and Life in Adventures ranked second and third.
Financial data
1. New Third Board: Last week, 9 new listed companies were added with a transaction amount of 608 million yuan, a decrease of 7.04% compared to the previous week. As of now, the total number of companies listed on the New Third Board has reached 6147.
2. Last Friday, the onshore Chinese yuan closed at 16:30 against the US dollar at 7.1746, down 0.1633%, and up 0.5599% for the week; The central parity rate of RMB was reported at 7.1449, up 0.0154% and down 0.1023% for the week.
3. Shanghai Environmental Protection Exchange: Last week, the trading volume of carbon emission quota listing agreements in the national carbon market was 318200 tons, with a total transaction volume of 29.0936 million yuan and a closing price of 90.57 yuan/ton, up 0.49% for the week.
4. US stock market: Last Friday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.13% to 39497.54 points, down 0.60% for the week; The S&P 500 index rose 0.47% to 5344.16 points, down 0.04% for the week; The Nasdaq rose 0.51% to 16745.30 points, and fell 0.18% for the week.
5. Europe: Last Friday, the German DAX30 index rose 0.24% to 17722.88 points, up 0.35% for the week; The French CAC40 index rose 0.31% to 7269.71 points, up 0.25% for the week; The FTSE 100 index in the UK rose 0.28% to 8168.10 points, down 0.08% for the week.
6. Gold: Last Friday, COMEX gold futures closed up 0.3% at $2470.6 per ounce, down 0.62% for the week.
7. Crude oil: Last Friday, WTI crude oil futures rose 0.85% to $76.84 per barrel, up 4.5% for the week; Brent crude oil futures rose 0.63% to $79.66 per barrel, up 4.7% for the week.
Guotai Junan: The 10 inch three fold mobile phone is no longer just a high-end phone, but can fully meet the light office scenarios mainly focused on office. It will change the way and scene of using mobile phones. The fully unfolded three fold mobile phone can rival tablets and meet office needs such as text and table processing, becoming a productivity tool. According to Canalys' data, the global sales of tablets and PCs will be 135 million and 247 million units respectively in 2023, and triple fold phones are expected to further penetrate the tablet and PC markets.
IDC: The CAGR of global foldable phone shipments from 2020 to 2023 is 110%; It is expected that the shipment volume will reach 45.7 million units in 2028, and the penetration rate is expected to reach 3.65%. The Chinese foldable phone market continues its growth trend, with a cumulative shipment of 2.57 million foldable screen phones in Q2 2024, a year-on-year increase of 104.6%. It is expected that the penetration rate of foldable smartphones in China will reach 5.5% by 2028, and the shipment volume is expected to reach 16.43 million units.
► Tianfeng Securities: Despite the decline in consumer electronics, downstream demand for foldable smartphones continues to increase. With the continuous downward trend of industry price bands, further promotion of downstream demand is expected to achieve a positive cycle. We are optimistic about the increasing volume of foldable screen smartphones in the next 3-5 years, and the bottleneck links in the industry chain will still receive corresponding premiums for a period of time.
► CITIC Securities: Huawei is currently the absolute leader in the domestic foldable screen mobile phone market and is optimistic about the demand growth brought by product innovation. The shipment volume of foldable screen smartphones is in a high certainty upward trend, and we are optimistic that the iteration of new products by giants will accelerate the development of the industry. The hinge, protective cover, and display module are the key difficulties of folding screen terminals, and it is recommended to pay close attention to them.